Current Events
Live prediction markets and event probabilities
Total Volume
$116.5M+8.2%
Active Markets
2,847+124
Active Traders
98.2K+5.4%
Avg Probability
48.5%
| Market | Probability | 24h | Volume | Traders | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 Presidential Election?PoliticsPolymarket | 52% | +2.5% | $45.2M Liq: $2.1M | 24,500 | Nov 5, 2024 |
Bitcoin to reach $100,000 in 2025?CryptoKalshi | 72% | +5.2% | $18.5M Liq: $890K | 12,300 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Fed to cut rates by June 2025?EconomicsKalshi | 64% | -3.1% | $12.1M Liq: $650K | 8,900 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?EconomicsKalshi | 41% | -1.2% | $9.4M Liq: $520K | 7,100 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before 2026?GeopoliticsPolymarket | 58% | +1.8% | $8.9M Liq: $420K | 6,700 | Dec 31, 2025 |
GTA VI to release before June 2026?GamingPolymarket | 12% | -8.5% | $6.7M Liq: $340K | 15,200 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Chiefs to win Super Bowl 2026?SportsKalshi | 28% | -4.5% | $5.6M Liq: $280K | 6,200 | Feb 8, 2026 |
ETH ETF approved in Q2 2025?CryptoPolymarket | 38% | +12.3% | $4.2M Liq: $210K | 4,500 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Celtics to win 2026 NBA Championship?SportsKalshi | 45% | +3.2% | $3.8M Liq: $180K | 5,200 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Taylor Swift album release in 2025?EntertainmentPolymarket | 67% | +0.5% | $2.1M Liq: $95K | 3,800 | Dec 31, 2025 |